Matteo Mesaglio vs Erwin Troebinger Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Recent second serve performance shows Troebinger leading with 42.68% points won, while Mesaglio stands at 40.33%. Could this slight edge be significant in match predictions?
• When it comes to returning second serves, Mesaglio outshines with 42.91%, ahead of Troebinger's 40.38%.
• For first serve returns, Mesaglio leads slightly with 33.72%, compared to Troebinger's 31.31%.
• Regarding pressure situations, Troebinger has a better breakpoint save rate at 47.62%, while Mesaglio has saved 44%.
• Over the past year, Mesaglio has a better match win rate at 54.55%, compared to Troebinger's 25%.
• Both players perform best on hard surfaces, but Mesaglio holds a 57% success rate over Troebinger's 24% on this surface.
• In terms of event level, both players predominantly play in $10K tournaments, yet Mesaglio has a superior win percentage of 54.55% compared to Troebinger's 25%.
• Mesaglio has faced slightly more challenging opponents, with an average rank of 156.21, than Troebinger’s opponents, averaging a rank of 174.96.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Mesaglio has a slight edge, winning 44% compared to Troebinger's 40% of such sets.
• Currently, Troebinger holds a minor advantage in breakpoint conversions, achieving 36.36% compared to Mesaglio's 33.33%.

Editorial Prediction (September 8, 2025, UTC):

Examining recent second serve statistics, Troebinger has marginally outperformed Mesaglio, indicating a potential competitive advantage. However, in return games, Mesaglio exhibits superior performance on both first and second serves, which could tip the balance in their favor.

Under pressure, Troebinger has shown a slightly better capability to manage breakpoints. Despite this, Mesaglio's more consistent match win rate over the past year stands out as a significant strength.

When considering playing surfaces, Mesaglio excels on hard courts, a potential benefit given that both players perform optimally on this surface.

Given their higher success rate against relatively stronger opponents, and a solid rate of success in deciding sets, Mesaglio appears better positioned to handle high-pressure moments.

While Troebinger's breakpoint conversion rate is marginally better, the overall statistical picture, including recent winning percentages and favored surface performance, suggests Mesaglio holds a comprehensive advantage.

Based on the analysis, Mesaglio is most likely to emerge victorious in the upcoming match.